That's right... we are on Jimena Watch 2009.
You excited?
HYPE!!!!
Jimena is not positioned ideally for SoCal with its center early this morning around 20N, 100W, yet traversing on a nearly northward trajectory (330°). WAMs show the fetch extending outward quite a bit, possible to 112W (or more). To ensure swell for SoCal, we need the fetch to cross the magic mark of 115W (or fairly close to it). Doing so would bring surf from about 160°. Where Jimena is located now though, the angle is not so ideal, and mostly from about 150° (180°, a direct south, would be ideal for all south facing breaks in SoCal). Jimena though is strong, blowing 135 kt winds (about 155 mph), and kicking up a fetch with seas estimated to be about 30 feet -- with estimated being the operative word. Although the wind speed and location of Jimena are known, the size of the fetch is a bit more elusive. Wave models seem to be doing their best to simulate what's going on at the ocean surface, but none are in exact agreement with the others
Click Me for WetSand, which is where the above was blatently stolen from.
So basically, we are hoping it gets above 160 degrees in order to get SOME swell out of this.
Hmmmmmm.... interesting.
F it! START THE HYPE MACHINE NOW!!!!! 
No need to confirm that we are getting swell, let's start the hype now anyway!! WoooHoooo!
That's right... we are on Jimena Watch 2009.
You excited?HYPE!!!!
[image]Jimena is not positioned ideally for SoCal with its center early this morning around 20N, 100W, yet traversing on a nearly northward trajectory (330°). WAMs show the fetch extending outward quite a bit, possible to 112W (or more). To ensure swell for SoCal, we need the fetch to cross the magic mark of 115W (or fairly close to it). Doing so would bring surf from about 160°. Where Jimena is located now though, the angle is not so ideal, and mostly from about 150° (180°, a direct south, would be ideal for all south facing breaks in SoCal). Jimena though is strong, blowing 135 kt winds (about 155 mph), and kicking up a fetch with seas estimated to be about 30 feet -- with estimated being the operative word. Although the wind speed and location of Jimena are known, the size of the fetch is a bit more elusive. Wave models seem to be doing their best to simulate what's going on at the ocean surface, but none are in exact agreement with the others
Click Me for WetSand, which is where the above was blatently stolen from.
So basically, we are hoping it gets above 160 degrees in order to get SOME swell out of this.
Hmmmmmm.... interesting.
F it! START THE HYPE MACHINE NOW!!!!! [image] No need to confirm that we are getting swell, let's start the hype now anyway!! WoooHoooo!
-mofo
you forgot to paste in this part from their report which is the most important
"but with one caveat: this swell would be very spotty, and some spots may see hardly anything"
Dude.. that would smooosh the hype. Why would I want to smoosh the hype? That would be a big friggin let down. I want everybody to take off work on Thursday and enjoy themselves with me and my wifey out at the beach and in the water. Why would I want it uncrowded and with an empty lineup? I mean, I like surfing in crowds. This way I can show everybody how I rip. I mean, if nobodys around, how will everybody know that I rip? Right? C'mon buddy, hop on that hype train with me.
Ride the hype train, the hype train
Everybody join in on the hype train, the hype train
Woohooo....
There are places in California that will catch a 150 degree swell. Now, whether or not it is worth the effort is another question. That would be great if it tracked a little west(for swell and to avoid damage in baja). I am trying to imagine what a 12 ft. @ 14 seconds from 160 would look like! Iknow some beachies that would have some loooong lefts.
I have to say, I'm pretty pleased with the amount of activity in the tropics the last few weeeks.
Mofo, if it tracks west enough to get in the SoCal window you have two major problems with your normal stomping grounds. They are San Clemente and Catalina island.
I don't think it will get west enough anyway, but your right Ecr, lil bit of a treck to check to see if we get anything.
On a plus note........watch the water temp go up in the next couple days. I remember a hurricane getting this close 4-5 years ago and NLA county water temps were 70-73 for a week or so.
A powerful Category 4 storm 12 hours earlier, Jimena had slipped to Category 2 status overnight.
The hurricane's maximum wind speed dropped from 135 mph to 105 mph (165 kph) during that time, according to the National Hurricane Center's 2 a.m. PT (5 a.m. ET) update.
"Additional weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours, but Jimena is still forecast to be a hurricane when it moves inland," the center said. Squalls from the storm were hitting the southern peninsula late Tuesday.
Jimena was moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph (20 kph) and was about 65 miles (110 kilometers) south-southeast of Cabo San Lazaro.
Oh well.
Hype over.
Nothing to see here.
Move along.
C'mon folks, keep moving. Thank you.
Ssshhhh, while Jimena was screaming "look at me!!!" doing nothing for us,,,, Kevin has been out in our swell window quietly working. Granted, he was small, 35-40 mph. - I hope at least it keeps us from going flat.
That little guy? I wouldn't worry about that little guy.
That little guy? I wouldn't worry about that little guy. [image]
-mofo
so little he disappeared today. he's no longer listed on NOAA
Sorry guys - I thought it was a 'hype' thread - now you guys go all reality on me!
2 more hours and my 5 day weekend begins!
" Jimena turned out to take a less than ideal course for California, leaving us in a whole lot of nothing the past couple days"
This Topic Is Locked To Guest Posts
It's been a while since this topic was active, if you'd like to get it going again, please post as a registered member
